If your first salvo in fantasy football trade negotiations is a bit inflated, you'll benefit in the end. It's science. Plus, nine bits of Fantasy Scout's cold, mathematical analysis for Week 8 and beyond.
With some help from Insider's Fantasy Scout -- and the rational third of his brain -- Scott Burton helps you sort out fantasy fact from fiction for Week 4. Among other revelations: Joe Flacco's hot start is likely too good to be true.