Dan Szymborski writes that Felix Hernandez has the characteristics of a 300-game winner, but his chances of reaching the milestone have been crushed by virtue of playing for the Mariners.
Dan Szymborski projects which current players will reach baseball's major milestones, such as 500 homers, 3,000 hits and 300 wins.
Dan Szymborski breaks down the odds of Matt Kemp creating a 50/50 club in 2012, and also looks at the chances of other milestones -- such as hitting .400 or 73 homers -- falling this season.
Dan Szymborski watched Jim Thome hit his 600th career home run and wondered which other active players have a shot at reaching the same milestone. The ZiPS projection system took over from there.
Now that Derek Jeter has 3,000 hits, Dan Szymborski runs the numbers to how see likely a number of other superstars are to reach the milestone.