In ESPN The Magazine's Analytics Issue, Nate Silver writes that analytics can solve a lot of mysteries in sports. It's when humans get involved that things get complicated.
The first preview piece from Nate Silver and the new FiveThirtyEight.
Nate Silver looks back to see how the Soccer Power Index fared compared with other systems.
Nate Silver's Soccer Power Index predicts each of the knockout-stage games and rates Ghana as a very slight favorite over the U.S.
Nate Silver updates the advancement odds for all 32 teams following the first round of games.
Spain is the big favorite, but Group H isn't the easiest of groups, with Chile a team that shouldn't be overlooked.
Group G was labeled the "Group of Death," but the Ivory Coast-Portugal match looms as the key game of the group.
Defending champion Italy drew the easiest group, with only Paraguay likely to give the Italians much of a fight.
Go around the globe with preview videos for all 32 teams.
The Netherlands is the heavy favorite in Group E, with the Denmark-Cameroon game likely the key game in the group.
Germany heads tough, deep Group D
The U.S. and England are the cream of the World Cup's Group C crop ... on paper, anyway.
Group B is full of inconsistent teams, but Argentina rates as the big favorite -- as long as Maradona doesn't mess things up.
Soccer Power Index: The United States catches a break in the World Cup draw, but SPI powerhouses Brazil, Portugal and Ivory Coast weren't as lucky, writes Nate Silver.