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Every Thursday, Football Outsiders president Aaron Schatz writes Number Crunching, a preview of every game that weekend in terms of interesting trends within the matchups. This is the Week 1 edition, focusing on the importance of Ray Rice, Colts' LBs and the Cowboys' second-half D.

Story | Conversation | September 09, 2010

Football Outsiders analyzes Week 12 in the NFL. Ideas: Oakland isn't THAT bad; Reggie Bush is poised for a big game vs. New England; Pittsburgh needs to play better in the second half; David Garrard gets knocked around too much and a plan for Houston.

Story | Conversation | November 25, 2009

Aaron Schatz breaks down the most likely upset of Week 16, explaining how the Cincinnati Bengals can beat the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Story | Conversation | December 20, 2012

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders explains why the Redskins' running game should be a strength against the Steelers this Sunday.

Story | Conversation | October 25, 2012

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders previews the best bets for upsets in the NFL. In Week 6, the struggling Packers look like a good bet to topple the undefeated Texans.

Story | Conversation | October 11, 2012

In a new weekly feature, Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders previews the best bets for upsets in the NFL. In Week 1, keep an eye on a Pittsburgh team capable of clipping the Broncos on the road.

Story | Conversation | September 06, 2012

Football Outsiders ranks the top 25 prospects in the NFL, players under the age of 26 in the 2012 season and who have yet to establish themselves as a household name. Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin tops the list.

Story | Conversation | July 17, 2012

All-pro picks are often colored by reputation more than on-field production, but Insiders know better. Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz breaks down the numbers to see who really deserves the label of "NFL's best."

Story | Conversation | January 13, 2012

Aaron Schatz breaks down Super Bowl XLV, explaining what each team needs to do to win the game.

Story | Conversation | February 03, 2011

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders breaks down three key Week 15 games -- JAX/IND, PHI/NYG and NYJ/PIT -- in terms of interesting trends to know, players to watch and more.

Story | Conversation | December 16, 2010

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders breaks down three key Week 13 games -- TB/ATL, PIT/BAL and NYJ/NE -- in terms of interesting trends to know (Ravens should spread Steelers' defense out), players to watch (Jerod Mayo) and more.

Story | Conversation | December 02, 2010

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders looks at trends and keys for Week 9 in the NFL. Focus on Kansas City on long runs (hello, Jamaal Charles), San Diego on first downs (work your weapons, Philip Rivers) and the Giants early in possessions.

Story | Conversation | November 04, 2010

Football Outsiders breaks down key trends for NFL Week 8. Among them: If Favre can play, he could do well against the Pats, the Texans' defense on third down will be crucial on MNF and the best way to beat a Steelers defense is to mix it up, so look for much from Sean Payton.

Story | Conversation | October 28, 2010

Aaron Schatz looks at Week 7 trends in the NFL. Among keys this week: the Green Bay Packers in short-yardage situations (the Vikings, surprisingly, don't defend those well) and the Dallas Cowboys' ability to create -- and then recover -- fumbles.

Story | Conversation | October 21, 2010

Football Outsiders does its 'Number Crunching' (a stats-and-trends based preview) for Week 2. A look at the numbers reveals the importance of a Ravens blitz, Wes Welker, Dallas Clark and Houston's use of the two-back set in this weekend's key games.

Story | Conversation | September 16, 2010

Introducing GSAA (Games Started Above Average), a new way to rate the war room success of all 32 teams. Bet you can't guess who came in last in Football Outsiders' rankings. OK, so maybe you can.

Story | Conversation | April 19, 2010